Planet Earth’s expiration date

 Based on all the scientific data that we have, it is not possible to say for sure when the biggest number of asteroids will hit Earth's surface. However, scientists have identified a number of factors that could increase the risk of an asteroid impact, such as:

  • The Yarkovsky effect, while is a slow, gradual change in the orbit of an asteroid due to the force of sunlight.
  • The gravitational pull of other planets, which can also cause asteroids to change their orbits. 
  • The collision of two asteroids, which can create new asteroids that are on a collision course with Earth.

Scientists are constantly monitoring the skies for potential asteroid impacts, and we have the technology to deflect asteroids if necessary. However, it is important to remember that asteroids are unpredictable, and we cannot rule out the possibility of a large asteroid hitting Earth in the future.

According to a study published in the journal Nature, the biggest number of asteroids are expected to hit Earth's surface between the years 2175 and 2200. This is because the Yarkovsky effect will be causing asteroids to move closer to Earth during this time period. However, it is important to note that this is just a prediction, and the actual date of the next major asteroid impact is unknown.

In the meantime, scientists are working to develop technologies that can deflect asteroids if they are found to be on a collision course with Earth. One such technology is called the Gravity Tractor, which would use the gravity of a spacecraft to slowly nudge an asteroid off its course. Another technology is called the Kinetic Impactor, which would use a spacecraft to collide with an asteroid and change its trajectory.

While we cannot predict when the biggest number of asteroids will hit Earth's surface, we are taking steps to protect ourselves from the threat of asteroid impacts. By monitoring the skies and developing technologies to deflect asteroids, we can help to ensure the safety of our planet.


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